2018 review plus 2019 goals: the year of keeping calm and carrying on
Woah! Another year has flown by – I hope you all had a great 2018!
It’s a perfect time to reflect on what has gone on in the previous twelve months and attempt to chisel out some plans for the next dozen, so like all good PF bloggers I will enthusiastically[/sarcarsm] join in 🙂
gooaaaaaaaaaaaaal…..
For the first time in a good few years we actually hit our savings rate goal which was:
- 35% if share scheme pays out
The shares paid out and we hit 43% savings rate so that was comprehensively dispatched with!
If anyone wanted to refresh their minds with the full “goals” post from last year by the way, here is the link to it.
oh… and there’s another one!
I also set myself a side goal of…
£750/month matched betting as well
I made £2,520/month in the end so yea kinda smashed that one out of the park. I did have one incredibly lucky win in August but even taking that out I still would have over doubled the target.
he must have a foot like a traction engine*!
I also wrote about “going deep” in 2018 i.e. concentrating on fewer things but trying to do them well. And you could argue that I have done exactly that in a few areas.
- I kinda gave up on golf – in all honesty I do want to try to get out more this year agin, but it’s just very time consuming
- I continued running and nearly got a PB in October at the Reigate half. Running is just easier for me to squeeze into my normal schedule (e.g. lunch time runs at work) I will try to continue to step up slightly again this year although can’t see me getting any huge gains in performance, but if I can continue to badger my half PB time I will be very happy!
- Matched betting / Each way sniping – I really concentrated on this as a money making side hustle and it paid off big time.
- Reading – I definitely read more books in 2018 than the previous year! Still a paltry amount compared to most (maybe 6-7) but pretty good for me.
There will be a few more home renovations to do this year so it may be hard to concentrate on the more fun stuff like the above, but I’ll do my best to use the “gong deep” philosophy again this year as I think it’s a good one.
*If anyone is getting these heading references… you are instantly one of my BFFs
get on with the damn 2019 goals man!
I’ll keep this post short and sweet and post up my 2019 goals, which are few in number yet again but actually one extra interesting one compared to the previous year.
- Savings rate of 45% – This is massively dependant on goal number 2 to be honest but I am just going to assume I will hit both goals 🙂 . It will also hopefully help us focus on still *trying* to be frugal-ish as best we can. I figure if our income is around 80K and we spend 44K, that is bang on 45% which seems pretty doable to me, and even if goal #2 doesn’t quite come in it still gives us a shot at hitting 45% if other factors go in our favour.
- Matched Betting / Each way sniping: £40,000 (!!!!) – Yea you read that right! I am going all guns blazing this year! This equates to £3,333.33 per month which I think is definitely doable with my larger stakes now on the each way betting stuff. But it will take hard work, discipline, and definitely a bit of luck going my way! I am also going to concentrate again on some traditional matched betting e.g. opening account offers (there are still tonnes out there I haven’t even done yet!) and things like no lay acca’s which are still good money makers from what I can see.
- Robin hood rides again – I am going to keep my donations pledge with regards to matched betting profits but I am going to modify it slightly as doing 10% of earnings this year kinda blew up our budget a little bit! So I am going to say this, I will donate between 5-10% of the profits but with a maximum of £2000 donated at the 10% rate. This way I know roughly up front the maximum amount we will give, and will pretty much assume I am going to hit that limit, but if profits fall way shorter than expected for any reason, we will still give 10%. A few example scenarios would be: A) £30,000 profits, give £2000. B) £20,000 profits, give £2000, £15,000 profits, give £1500. D) £50,000 profit, give £2,500 (i.e. 5% of £50,000). Hope that makes sense!? As you can see it will pretty much mean we end up donating £2000, unless I have an outlier year at either end of the profits scale.
- Amazon Merch (T-shirts) – Have 100 designs uploaded with at least 1 sale by the end of the year – I am very keen to not give a specific earnings amount for this as I haven’t even uploaded one design yet, so have no idea whether my designs will attract sales or how much commission I would make even if they do. But The Saving Ninja tells me if you upload a design and it doesn’t sell at least 1 unit within 30 days they take it down! So to get 100 designs up there that haven’t been taken down within a month seems like quite a tough target for a complete newbie, it’s something tangible, and doesn’t rely on the luck of getting some designs that really take off and become popular. Hopefully if I get 100 or more designs up I will be earning a decent amount per month (I dunno… say £100/month?) but as I say I have no idea what sort of returns to expect on this so I’m not going to focus on the actual income while I’m getting to grips with it.
As you can see though, as the title alludes to, it is pretty much just more of the same again this year … with a lot of fun chucked in on the side as usual 🙂
budget schmudget
I’m not even going to bother with a detailed budget analysis for 2019, we never seem to hit it anyway and it’s always horrendously inaccurate on both the income and expenses side so I just really cannot be bothered with the agro this year! I think I’ll just stick with roughly the same figures as last year for the target and hope for the best… haha.
Here are some of the headline figures from 2018 though:
Income
Monthly average: Budgeted for £4,422 / Actual figure £7,644 / Difference +£3,222
Yearly: Budgeted for £53,064 / Actual figure £91,728 / Difference +£38,664
Expenses
Monthly average: Budgeted for £3,205 / Actual figure £3,753 / Difference +£548
Yearly: Budgeted for £38,458 / Actual figure £54,089 / Difference +£15,631
So what went right (income) and what went wrong (expenses)? 🙂
Income – My share scheme paid out which was a fair bit higher than I expected, plus betting side hustle income was much (much!) higher than expected, where I had budgeted £9,000 and ended up with £30,240!
Expenses – Strap yourselves in.. We bought a new car which blew our transport budget by £3,906. We bought new windows (£4500) and 2 new sofas (£900), a garden shed (£260), a new mattress (£500) amongst other things(!!) which blew our home and garden budget by £6,468. We “blew” our charity budget by £2,390 due to the higher than expected gambling hustle returns… All of that adds up to £12,764 and so accounts for the large bulk of the budget being blown
I think it’s fair to say going forward that our base spending will be what we spent this year minus all of that extra crap, but including the £2K from the charity as mentioned in goal #3 from above. So that roughly comes out as £42500. That neatly ties up with what I said above about a 45% savings ratio, assuming income of £80K and expenses of around £44K. Obviously there will be some extra stuff that needs doing to the house or some other random expenses that crop up. I know how this game works now! But hopefully that will still stay under the £44K mark. And if not then our savings rate will be even better, if we make that income!
fin
That’s it! I am now ready to go out and rip 2019 a new one!
Hope you all have a great year 🙂
Discussion (29) ¬
That’s a might matched betting goal. By each way sniping do you mean targeting the ‘extra’ place offers hoping to win both on the exchange and with bookies?
Hi Karl,
No but that is also a good strategy and I certainly wouldn’t put you off doing that!
Here are the first two parts of my each way sniping guides (3rd part still to come):
http://thefirestarter.co.uk/matched-betting-how-to-make-money-betting-each-way-horse-racing/
http://thefirestarter.co.uk/matched-betting-how-to-make-money-betting-each-way-horse-racing-part-2/
Cheers!
Wow, your matched betting profits are incredible and are certainly helping things along on the FI front. What % is from the each way betting and what % comes from regular promotional stuff offered by bookies? Good on you for giving up some of your winnings to charity! P.s. What’s “gong deep”?
Wice recently posted…Shaping your path to FIRE
Honestly it was probably 95%+ from each way betting. Crazy I know!
Apologies, I forgot to actually link to last years “goals” post – I have included a link in the relevant spot(s) in the post now but here it is again for convenience:
http://thefirestarter.co.uk/2017-goals-review-plus-2018-goals-year-deep/
Those are some beastly goals! But after seeing the commitment you have to the EW sniping, I’m sure you’ll smash them.
Thanks for linking to your No Lay Acca guide – I’ve read about them before, but haven’t dived in as I wasn’t sure I completely understood it! But I feel more informed after reading that post, so might give it a try this weekend.
Good luck with all of your various side projects, and I look forward to reading more this year!
Dr FIRE recently posted…December 2018 Income & Expenses
Cheers Doc! 🙂
I hope it’s a good year but you never know really with the old each way game… it is gambling and we must never forget that!
No lay accas are also gambling but the edge is so well ingrained into that I don’t feel you can go far wrong with it. Much less risky.
Good luck with that and any questions feel free to ask, and with your 2019 as well!
I wish I could matched your EW stuff! Then again I’m only operating witha Bank of £500!
Mr Five 2 Fire recently posted…Side Hustles Report : December 2018
I started with a bank of £1000 in March last year! Just keep increasing stakes say 25% every time your bank grows by 50% and you will see exponential growth (hopefully!)
Amazing on the Matched Betting. How much time are you spending on it? Do you have multiple accounts running? When I was doing it, most of the bookies banned me after Cheltenham and I was only winning a couple of hundred quid across them! I also felt it became like a job, getting up Saturday morning to place about 20 or more bets. Monotonous. Like you say, better things to do on a Saturday morning like playing golf 🙂
Hi Jim,
Honestly not that much time as with the each way strategy it’s just backing and not laying so much easier to keep track of everything. Yea I got bored of doing all the offers, but actually going back to it recently after a long break it doesn’t seem so bad, so I think mixing it up with different strategies and having breaks from certain ones is key.
I would never get up on a Saturday just to do this, I just chuck a few bets on throughout the day on my phone when I get a spare 5 minutes. If I’m doing something else then no bets get placed… it’s not the sort of thing you want to be a slave to and if that means I miss out on profits then que sera!
I definitely need to get back out on the course – yep! 🙂
Ahh dude you’ve absolutely smashed 2018 out of the park! I can’t believe you’re MB profits, really envious! I’d be happy with half of what you made in 2018 for my 2019.
Can you just buy a Tesla and be done with it? Not very FI/RE minded, but it’s a gift from the bookies :))
You’ll definitely beat the 1 sale goal, you need 10 sales in order to be able to upload more than 10 designs 😛 You move up in tiers, that’s why it’s good to get your first 10 slots filled ASAP as it’s the hardest tier to get out of!
SavingNinja recently posted…RESET Book Review
I reckon you won’t be far behind me in 2019 mate – you’ve got the hustle just need a bit of luck with the results! ;o)
HAHAHAA that would be superb and so hilarious wouldn’t it? 🙂
Maybe next year….
Sorry not sure I was clear about that goal, I want to get to 100 designs successfully uploaded with at least 1 sale so that would mean a minimum of 100 sales (in reality would be more because likelihood of all 100 only having 1 sale seems very low).
So there is definitely a chance I won’t hit this goal, as I may never even leave Tier 1 haha! So short term goal is obviously to break out of Tier 1 (By April maybe?) then hopefully it can grow exponentially from there.
Cheers!
Great work on the EW Sniping, it would be really good to hear how you are avoiding (or not) stake restrictions. You are clearly getting on a decent stake on plenty of horses?
Well done on hitting all of your other goals as well!
I’m not really doing anything to avoid stake restrictions, just opening up new accounts when old ones get restricted.
Are you trying this strat yourself?
Total stakes in November were around £35K!!!! 😀
Shame the highest staking month I have had so far was the worst results wise…hah. The way it goes some times and I can’t complain with the overall results so far.
Cheers
Bit confused…where’s the hair cut goal?!?!
That aside I like your goals a lot. Can see that the first two are linked but to plan to basically match you salary with matched betting is incredible. Good luck with it.
Also totally admire you building a second side hustle with the Merch stuff (a third I guess if you count this blog). That’s the kind of effort that’s going to get you to FI super fast.
Hope you smash 2019.
Caveman recently posted…Marginal gains: How I made tiny changes to get richer and remove stress
Haha… I can see this one being the long running joke of 2019… please try to keep it up Caveman! 🙂
Yea that was basically my goal to match my salary with MB, but I didn’t really know how to write that down without getting unnecessarily complicated.
I originally was going to say beat my net salary but that would be a lot less than 40K so would be “easy” (haha) to beat, then I thought I could say gross salary, but that is a pointless measure really, then I thought I could say net salary for both of us which would be around 40K, at which point it seemed to confusing and I would just say 40K. In any case, if I made 40K matched betting it would pretty much beat any of those and definitely beat what I take home from my job which would be kind of amazing and also quite funny really.
Second side hustle (this blog definitely doesn’t count haha) – well thanks but I haven’t done anything on it yet so maybe reserve the admiration until this time next year when hopefully I have built my T-Shirt empire (insert evil laugh here!!!) 😀
Cheers and you too!
That is an absolutely EPIC matched betting goal to go for but I’m rooting for you to go all the way, TFS! Wow! The charity-giving makes sense and I don’t think anyone can really say anything about the %s, unless they can certify they donate just as much themselves!?
The Amazon Merch goal is interesting – need to get onto that myself but have so many other things which will/should be of priority.
Anyway, good luck with all the goals, look forward to smashing them!
Hopefully this year I will be celebrating hitting my goal with champers, caviar and a hand rolled cuban? Or more likely a Nandos and a nice bottle of ale 😉
Glad the charity thing made sense, I wasn’t sure when I was writing it if it did haha.
Yea the Amazon Merch is the real wild card this year. It could be a total flop or it could be amazing (ama-zon? hah)… We will have to see but it should be fun finding out.
Cheers and to you too!
Superb results on the punting front, congratulations. I have a pro punter friend and his returns aren’t a lot more than yours, so your achievement is stunning. Providing you can keep it going. The bookies don’t entertain winning punters for very long, so make hay while you can. I never won a meaningful amount but have been pretty much closed down by all the big firms and am restricted now to the exchanges, which have been deliberately run down by their greedy bookie owners, so it’s tough to actually get money on.
Reckon your first ‘limited edition’ t-shirt (will be a collectors item in 30 years time if you’re still blogging) needs to have a TFS logo on it, along with your projection line graph plotting your years to FI. That should keep you focused and motivated. Not that you’re lacking in either though, based on your recent achievements.
Very well done.
Cheers Kid Cocoa,
I also have a pro punter friend that I look to for inspiration on what is possible… I wonder if its the same person? Haha.
Yea I am very concerned about restrictions but I will have to deal with that 😉 as and when it becomes too much of a problem.
Yea it’s a bit of a joke how good Betfair exchange used to be and how it’s kind of been left to rot since they opened the sportsbook where they obviously make more money… pah.
Great idea about the T-Shirt! 🙂
It will obviously be worth a lot of money in 20 years time so it will be a great investment for readers hahahahaa.
Cheers again and hope you have a great year.
I’ve had The Day Today on the brain recently since the press coverage about its 25th anniversary.
Good luck with all the goals. I recently submitted a Merch by Amazon application as it looked like a good side hustle to have a crack at but I hear a lot of people are getting rejected at the moment so I won’t hold my breath for even getting an account, much less making sales!
Fretful Finance recently posted…Should You Feel Guilty for Being a Buy to Let Landlord?
Hah… I’ve totally missed all of that!?
25 years eh… well that makes me feel old.
I got accepted really quickly, I think if you have a website already it probably really helps with the application? Anyway good luck with it.
Cheers!
£40,000 in 2019 is very big and hard goal but I think you can do it! I will follow your blog and wait for new posts.
Cheers Boss!
Hey TFS,
Great to see your goals for 2019. Based on last year’s profits from EW betting it’s doable but will be a challenge – the perfect sort of goal! I got an Amazon Merch account set up last year and confess I’ve not put a single t-shirt on it yet. I got a bit stuck with needing software to create transparent images. Maybe I’ll come back to it as a wildcard hustle later this year!
Question for you, with your savings, are you investing these into say ISAs? You have probably covered this before, but I don’t recall seeing much on it recently. Are you working toward a big FIRE number so that you can eventually call FI, or are you planning to mostly just grow your side hustles to be able to quit your job (or perhaps a combo of these!)?
Good luck for 2019, I look forward to seeing your progress.
Corinna
Corinna | Inspiring Life Design recently posted…A Valentine’s Day Gift Guide, No Matter What Your Budget
Hi Corinna,
With regards to the transparent software, just download GIMP (it’s free!!!) – it’s fairly complex but that can do it. Do a few youtube tutorials and you will be well away. It’s very powerful once you get into it as well, and good fun getting the results you want.
I have a very haphazard investing approach (not recommended!) and just provide updates on what I’m doing as and when, in my monthly updates. To summarise in the last year I’ve roughly invested in:
Cryptos (oops)
An angel investment fund (RLC Ventures)
Monzo crowd funder
Bettingmetrics company – a single “angel” investment
SIPP
I don’t think I actually put anything into my ISA but this is something I will definitely focus on this year, especially if the market takes a tumble.
On your final question, see my latest post for more info on that – should answer everything on there 🙂
Cheers!
G’day TFS. Great blog. We follow it from Australia. I would make the break and go out on your own. I did it 5 years ago and never looked back.
This is sports desk, I’m Alan Partridge. 😉
Great to hear from yet another person who “went for it” and has not regretted the decision.
Glad you got the headline text as well 😀