pre-resignation finance health check + 2019 end of year review
Will not be purchasing anything like this any time soon!
Good day, month and indeed new decade to you people!
As usual things have been quiet on here for the last few months, hopefully will pick things back up when I am sans-office job.
With the resignation letter submission date looming ever nearer (In fact it is most likely going to be today!!!!), plus the fact that the turn of the year has just passed, I though it prudent to snapshot an overall view of our current finances, plus spending for the previous year. This will hopefully give me some more confidence in finally pulling the trigger!
net worth
Let’s start with the good news which is the Net Worth report.
Since my last update in September we are now standing at:
Excluding house equity: £296,874 / +£60,932 / +25.82%
Including house equity: £390,737 / +£63,216 / +19.3%
Liquid Freedom: £175,425 / +£52,013 / +42.15%
For the year we are:
Excluding house equity: +£80,688 / +85.17%
Including house equity: +£115,665 / +42.05%
Liquid Freedom: +£107,819 / +57.03%
It probably goes without saying but I am very happy how the year has gone!
The health of our financials stands me in good stead for quitting the corporate world and giving me a long runway to becoming financially self sufficient on money I earn with personal business ventures and other side hustles.
It is probably worth breaking down the “investments” into further sub categories just so you can see where I’ve thrown some random darts over the last 12 months. Also, my “Liquid Freedom” could actually be split down into further categories because some of it is not really that liquid at all. However, it should be available to me before my pensions and SIPPs are, which is why I put it in there.
If push came to shove though, it won’t be available for putting food on the table, so I really need to break that down into 2 further sub categories.
Here we go then:
Locked up investments:
SIPPs: £100,000
Pensions: £21,000
Even if we never contribute another penny, with 4% real rate of interest on that this would be worth £226k when I’m 55. It’s not enough to sustain a proper retirement but not at all that bad, and obviously I am planning on still “working” and contributing to this in the next 16 years as well.
Mid-term investments
This means investments that are not locked up in Pensions but ones which are illiquid and may take 5 years or more to “pay out” (or fail miserably and not pay out at all), as well as ISAs, which I would rather not touch in the short term if possible.
ISAs: £27,000
RLC VCF: £15,000
Crowdcube (various): £11,500 1
House Crowd: £5,500
Brew Dog: £1,234 2
Cryptos: £1,000 (refactored down from £13,000…. haha!)
Cash:
£110,000
So there you go, we easily have 2 years worth of living expenses in cash right now, plus a boat load of other investments and a not insignificant amount in pensions.
The picture should in fact look slightly better than the figures above because one of the VCF investments has already paid out (it was just after I took this snapshot so can’t be bothered to go back and change it), so you can add £8,000 into the cash pile (but remove £2,500 from the VCF) so +£5,500 in total.
So with that we have ~£115k in cash.
I don’t like to be overconfident in anything in life, but I think we are going to be OK.
One thing I still need to do is work out how much tax I will likely have left over to claim back from this tax year, and submit another chunk into my SIPP to claim all of that back. I figure I might as well max this out this year, as it could be the last time in a few years that I actually have any tax to claim back. Hopefully I will have some taxable income in the 20/21 tax year but you never know! This may not actually end up being too much because I will have already claimed back quite a lot due to the VCF and Crowdcude investments as they are all eligible for EIS/SEIS tax relief.
side hustles
The eagle eyed of you may notice that there is a really big increase in Net Worth this year compared to previous years, and that is down to my side hustles going nuclear. Why do I think this is?
Necessity is the mother of invention
It’s a well known phrase, and I think around June time when I committed to the fact I would be leaving work in early 2020, it really focused my mind on what I could do to further ramp up the side hustles.
I ended up building software to automate some of my processes (Each way betting etc…) which essentially means a robot is sitting there betting for me. As usual robots beat humans with this sort of basic task in the key areas of speed, and that they never get tired, need a break or get bored and want to go and do something else. So it’s natural that this has juiced returns significantly.
It’s worked out phenomenally so far, but I am still very cognisant of the fact that this is not a long term guaranteed income. However it’s definitely served me very well in the short term and has made me more relaxed about pulling the plug on the 9-5, so I am very glad I’ve gone down that route.
It’s also been really good fun developing the software as well and given me some possible business ideas on how I might be able to commercialise it, if people are interested in this sort of thing please let me know? I know I hinted at this in my last post by the way, so sorry if that has come across as teasing. But the software is very basic at the moment and no way in a state to sell to the public, and I haven’t had time to work on it much past the MVP 3, “it works for me” type of state it’s currently in.
Anyway in last year goals post, I said I wanted to hit £40k matched betting/EWB earnings and I smashed it with at least £50k.
Sorry I can’t give you an exact figure; as well as our expenses, I also stopped tracking this on a monthly basis this year. So this is a conservative estimate based on balances in my betting accounts.
I also said I would donate at least £2k of this to charity barring any disasters, and we have been very tardy on this front and hardly donated anything throughout last year (maybe £500 in total) but we have made a further £2k donation to various charities at the start of January 2020, which I will add onto the figures of our expenses for last year below, because that is when we should have made it.
expenses
This is normally where bad news happens, but actually this year for some reason or another our spending didn’t go up. This is obviously quite ironic considering this is the first year for ages where we haven’t bothered tracking everything as we go month by month.
Anyway, good old money dashboard has still been faithfully chugging along in the background tracking everything for us. When I logged in the other day it had made a pretty good fist of categorising everything and for those that it got wrong or failed to tag, it’s just not worth the effort of trawling through a whole year so there are some pretty vague categories in here such as “family” which just means I had no idea what the purchase was, and also a fairly large “cash” category as well. In any case, I would imagine the total figure is pretty accurate and that is all that really matters.
For those that want a bit more in depth, I’ll break it down for you with some cute little pie charts from money dashboard below. I will not comment on, or make any excuses / justifications for any of the spending this year, it just is what it is and I’m at peace with this now 🙂
Side note: I was really impressed with how much MD has come along since last time I used it. Feels a much more polished product now and it’s easier to visually see your spending categories broken down now. Well done to the team there!
Enough waffle, here are the top line figures and some nice charts.
Total Expenses: £51,096 (vs £54,088 in 2018)
Bear in mind it’s £2k less on the chart due to the £2k charity donation we made in Jan 2020, as explained above.
So there you go.
Unfortunately, this year could turn out to be a lot more expensive as we are planning a few overdue upgrades to the house such as a new boiler. But we still did a fair bit last year to the house as well, so hopefully it won’t be significantly more.
savings rate
It’s a ball park estimate this year but here’s what I’ve gone with:
Our liquid Freedom NW went up by about £80k this year. All the “savings” contributions I’ve made to those random investments were offset by a small inheritance we received due to my Nan passing away in the middle of the year (I am not including that into the savings rate as this so obviously a one off thing, it doesn’t seem right to include it). So we can fairly safely assume that we saved 80k of our actual income.
Therefore savings rate is a simple £80k / (£51k+£80k) = 61%
Checking against the goal set in January last year of 45%, we beat it comfortably!
This is also the highest yearly savings rate we’ve ever accomplished, the previous best being 48% in 2015. So high fives all round at TFS towers 🙂
I will have a think about some goals for this year and try to write something up soon.
key take-aways
We have £115k in cash which is comfortably 2 years worth of living expenses for us.
Going back to one of my first posts my stated goal was this:
Retirement to me simply means being able to quit my corporate office worker job, you know, quit working for “the man”. The day I can feel comfortable enough to hand in my notice without another regular job planned – what is know as having “fuck you money” for hopefully obvious reasons – will be when I have “Retired” from the corporate treadmill and therefore retired for the purposes of the challenge on this blog.
This will be very shortly completed, and only about 1.5 years behind schedule of the original 5 year plan goal.
Bearing in mind I’ve been working part time for the large bulk of this, that’s not bad going!
One very important thing to note though is that none of it went anything like my original projections in terms of spending or life in general.
The key point here being that spreadsheets can only tell you so much and being adaptable is far far more important.
Which is of course true for life in general and not just in striving for FIRE.
One final point, just because I’ve met my original “goal”, this does not mean the TFS blog will be closing for business.
Realistically as I should have more time on my hands I will hopefully be writing more than ever.
You can’t get rid of me that easily!!! 🙂
And I will let you all know how resignation day goes down very soon!
Notes:
- If people are interested in this I could do a quick write up of all the companies I’ve invested in, in a separate post? ↩
- LOL at the 1234 figure, this was entirely unintended and due to 2 separate investments one of which was converted from $ to £, so nice little coincidence! ↩
- Minimum Viable Product ↩
Very impressive TFS! There’s clearly a while lot of followup posts, from what’s going on with your software, to what TFS did next, that I’m certainly going to be looking forward to.
But firstly, do keep us updated with the resignation – it’s really fascinating for those of us who aren’t nearly there yet.
Congratulations!
Thanks MadFlier
Not much has really happened so far since the resignation but I’ll do a very short follow up post this week at some point.
Cheers!
Really comprehensive overview TFS and an interesting article. Hope you will keep us informed job wise and good luck.
Thanks Rob, appreciate the well wishes 🙂
Stupendous efforts on the bot, TFS – well done for smashing your target!
Hope all goes well when you hand in your notice – you never know, you might be presented with another opportunity to consider, if they suddenly realise that they can’t do without your skills!
And I’m really glad that you’ll be continuing with the blog – a couple more have dropped into the FIRE graveyard, have been replaced by new ones but how long will those last?
weenie recently posted…October 2019 Savings, plus other updates
Would be very interested in your robo ew betting. Specially when you need to be quick quick quick.
Thanks for stating your interest!
I will get back to everyone with an update as soon as I have one. Work is predictably manic now that everyone knows I am leaving so not sure how much progress I will make on it before I leave tbh
50k matched betting! That is mental
Wow well done on the e/w betting figures! 50k is very impressive.
Would love to hear more about the bot and how you went about setting this up!
Haha – If I had a bot that made me 50k a year I wouldn’t be telling people how I did it! Especially not on the internet!
To be fair I should have broken that down a bit so as not to hype people up about the bot too much (honest eff up, just rushed the post out).
The break down of that profit was roughly:
25K – Manual EW betting from the start of the year
8K – A Golf system that is half automated but that I will not be selling or telling anyone how it works (I don’t think anyone would buy it anyway tbh, because once I told you how it works, it’s very simple, you would just go and do it manually)
12K – Another bot that is really good that I won’t be selling as it has potential to make way more, and if it went viral then the edge would disappear.
That leaves a paltry 5K to the other bot I am running that I might be able to get into a saleable product, and that I don’t mind selling because it wouldn’t give any edge away (or more realistically I won’t be using it long term in any case).
HOWEVER – I have only concentrated on this particular bot because it’s something I can use right now. There is one killer-marketable bot in the pipeline which is the one that you lot are actually interested in (I think) and that is a:
Multi bookie EW Matcher auto bet bot.
I made a proof of concept with this using Bet365 and it works pretty well. So I just need to integrate the rest of the bookies, iron out all the bugs, get the UI looking a bit nicer, and work out a way to share it with you where people actually have to pay for it to use it (or just go with a “honesty” based payment system instead, not too sure about that)
It’s also worth pointing out that even with this “killer bot”, compared to manual EW:
A) Your ROI is going to be lower because you take every single bet that pops up. So you are getting more “average market returns” so to speak. With manual you can either be lucky or unlucky and I think I got lucky especially at the start of the year.
B) You are far more likely to get stake restricted quicker, which again will lower returns
This might make it a hard sell but I will be honest with those two above points when I finally present it to people. Need to set expectations correctly before people put down their hard earned!
Of course there is also the possibility that you make far more than you would manually doing it because it can go for hours without breaks etc…
This is quite a long and detailed comment so I will expand slightly and turn it into a proper post soon, so people who missed it understand the whole story correctly and what to expect from me coming up.
Good luck, TFS! Looking forward to following your updates as you experiment with self-employment and entrepreneurship.
With regards to Crowdcube, I’d definitely be interested in a post detailing your experiences with it and the companies you ended up investing in.
Dr FIRE recently posted…Sayonara, RateSetter. How long does it take to get your money back?
Thanks good Dr!
Cool I will do. I don’t know why but I am buzzing about Crowdcube at the moment, I just think it is a great fit for my personality with investing. Having said that, now I will be sans work pension I really do need to start looking at normal investments as well, can’t have it all in high risk sh*t or bust stuff like early stage start ups, haha!
Very impressed with the betting outcomes, specifically how you managed to avoid the bookies closing you down. In my experience it hasn’t taken very long to get closed down if you fail to lose consistently (even at the level of a fiver each way and maybe 500 profit max per month).
And by closing down I mean limiting bet sizes to ridiculously small amounts of less than a pound!
Hi Mick,
It’s been much harder in this last year to keep accounts open and I will admit I have lost pretty much all of them in both mine and Mrs T’s name…. there are very obvious ways around this though but I will let you work that out for yourself 😉
Cheers
Well done on the staggering MB returns TFS. I’m still getting to grips with the whole thing and can’t even imagine getting to a fraction of that. Look forward to reading an update if/when you hand in the notice.
Cheers FF
I did indeed do it on the day I posted this! But not much happened since, hence the silence. I will do a very short update this week though just so people know I followed through.
Thanks again
Did I see BrewDog in there? Mrs. Done by Forty and I had a blast at their brewery in Glasgow a few years ago. Had enough IPAs that we thought buying merch would be a good idea.
Our spending was somewhere in the same neighborhood in 2019 (something like $47k) but we’re going to artificially reduce that figure going forward now that the mortgage is paid off. I think once we take housing out of the equation, our households have fairly similar spending.
Congratulations on the life change and all the best with your upcoming plans, friend!
Done by Forty recently posted…Tax Refunds: CDs with a Positive ROI, not “Interest Free Loans”
Haha, having done about 3 days of matched betting I was thinking as I filled in my spreadsheet “surely I can write a bot could do this faster than me…”. I’d probably advise you to keep that to yourself 😉
Thanks for the great breakdown of your year and I hope you enjoy your new FIRE life! 🙂
Xailter recently posted…My financial journey so far
Sounds like a great year. Would definitely be interested in your automated betting software, or at the very least some technical articles on how you put it together.
Will defo provide updates on it. Thanks Andy!
Hey TFS,
Wow this feels like such a milestone post…having been following you for years, to see you achieve your original goal of having enough to “retire” from the corporate world is really exciting.
Do be sure to tell us all about your resignation day and what it’s like during your notice period. I remember a few years back when Huw from Financially Free By 40 left his job, he even filmed his last day in the office!
Congrats, and pleased to hear you’ll be continuing with the blog.
Corinna
Corinna | Inspiring Life Design recently posted…How Soon Will I Be Financially Free?
If you need beta testers for the EW bot let me know.
Well done on your endeavours and enjoy your retirement. I’m sure you’ll find yourself busier than ever.
Will update as soon as I can. Thanks!
Hey TFS, I would be super interested in the E/W Bot. Let us know if you have any updates on it!
Will update as soon as I can. Thanks!
Amazing income and motivation for me.
I build MarketFeeder triggers and use BetBotPro its tough to find consistent daily profits.
There is nothing I know of on the market that will login to Skybet, Bet365, Ladbrokes – I am half way through building one using PHP – login, place bet etc would love to know if you built an EW Bot yourself?
Cheers 🙂
Hi Dave,
Thanks for the comment. I have been looking at MarketFeeder… will shoot you an email.
Cheers