the one in which TFS bitches about getting a 6x return on his money
TFS Jr will have a lot more money to count sometime soon!
We had some great news the other day. And I mean super-fan-f**cking-tastic great news!
So apologies for the following post which probably shows the worst of human behaviours (greed, regret, entitlement… the list could go on). However, please bear in mind while reading that I am immensely grateful for the windfall in question, my gripe is merely on how the opportunity was presented to us in the first place.
First of all though, the good news!
TFS Mega Corp’s ass has been sold
The company I work 1 for has been sold on from the private investor group that bought it a good few years ago. They’ve made out like absolute bandits and are looking at 8-9x on their initial investment. Luckily, I participated in the staff investment scheme they offered at the time the investment group bought it to the tune of £2,500. They’ve said the minimum we should expect back is a 6.5x return on our money. We’ve already received £2900 as a “dividend” last year so that should mean a minimum payout a bit later this year of:
£13,350!!!!
(Less any CGT tax that needs to be paid, although should be minimal judging from the online calculators I’ve used)
This is awesome and will provide a real boost to the ole FI coffers, no doubt about it! Or at the least cancel out any of the Crypto losses I may make when that crashes to zero sometime in the near future 🙂
And it means of course I will have to adjust our savings rate targets way upwards.
Hell… we might even treat ourselves to a nice holiday, you never know! 2
#salesfail
So look, my one gripe is how this investment scheme was “sold” to us. Information was very light on the ground and the main points that kept being put across were simply:
- “This is a great opportunity!”
- You will likely make 3-4x your money in a few years!
- If you put £1 and the company grows 4x, you will get 4x your money.
There were also some negatives, mainly:
- Obviously don’t know how long it will take to perform the exit strategy and you get your money back.
- If you leave the company you get your money back and that’s it.
All sounds fair enough I suppose, but here are my main two gripes with two of those points:
- “This is a great opportunity/You will likely make 3-4x your money in a few years” – It just came across as almost like a con salesman’s spiel to be honest. As mentioned there was hardly any information on how or why they thought the company could grow so much in such a short time. The company had grown a lot in the previous few years but nowhere near that amount. The best I thought it might do rationally is grow 2x in say 3 years, which is still a great investment of course! But at the time my long term future at the company seemed unsure at best (which is admittedly not their fault), so it seemed silly to throw too much money into it only to get my money back a year later or whatever.
- “If you put £1 and the company grows 4x, you will get 4x your money” – I can’t find any emails or docs from the time so I can’t say if this was literally what was said, but they certainly gave the impression that this was the case – to me at least, and definitely the handful of other people I’ve spoken about it with since. The thing is that this was categorically not the case. The investment was leveraged pretty highly by a low interest bank loan and roughly geared up at 2x. So my rational thought that the company might double in value meant that your investment would pay out 4x… which is a massive f**king game changer IMHO. Why wasn’t this extremely important part of the deal explained correctly? I fail to believe that it was because the top guys in my office who were explaining it to us didn’t know about. I’m sure they realised it was the deal of the century and had 10’s if not 100’s of thousands invested. I just can’t think of a reason apart from incompetence to be honest. The first I actually heard of the gearing was at least a year later when one of the top finance guys came down from head office and explained it to us. I was like…”WTF?!” and realised at that point I’d missed out on capitalising on a great opportunity.
let’s be stoic
Whining about that over with, it probably wouldn’t have made much difference to how much we put in anyway because of two reasons:
- We were in the middle of a house move so cashflow was tight.
- As I said, I wasn’t sure I’d stay at the company for much longer than a year at the time anyway.
- Hindsight is 20/20 whereas at the time, I didn’t know when the company would be sold on or for how much.
On the other hand, maybe I would have liquidated all of our ISA’s and stuck £20K into it (OK very unlikely) or borrowed some money off the bank of mum and dad and split any profits with them? Who knows… I guess I never will, so writing this post is the last bit of thinking about it I will do (promise!) and get on with investing (and admittedly spending a bit of) the money elsewhere.
Also it is worth thinking about the people who joined the company just after the cutoff date who didn’t even get the chance to invest… they’ve done 3 years of hard graft and not had this windfall at all. Let alone people at other companies who don’t get such investment schemes, and others in even shittier jobs or without jobs at all. Stoicism is great! I feel better already! 🙂
So yes on balance I am overall over the flipping moon and very grateful of the final outcome, and appreciate the good fortune of being offered the investment the first place.
conclusion
I’ve been wanting to write about this for a while now, but have been hesitant as it obviously makes me look like an ungrateful twat.
But it is surely quite shocking if large companies can’t even explain really quite important things like this to their employees. How are we supposed to make sensible financial decisions and grab opportunities as they come up if all of the facts are not available to us?
What do you think? Am I just a big Whiney-McWhineface? Or do you think they’ve acted a bit… I dunno… “shit” in this whole thing?
Some advice I heard a long time ago was to never over-expose yourself to your own employer. If your employer goes down you already lose your job.. you don’t want to also be losing a large investment.
Perhaps you may have invested more, but as you say hindsight is a wonderful thing. Better to enjoy the small windfall and move on 😉
Great advice Guy… thanks 🙂
Absolutely spot on – think Enron. There is a clip where the “leadership team” were advising people to continue putting their pensions in Enron stock…. ouch!
Congrats on the windfall, TFS!
I understand the gripe you have regarding how it had been sold but could it be that the company are fearful of recommending the purchase of shares to employees as they don’t want to be seen to be giving advice, or that they themselves don’t really understand how it all works? A shame about those colleagues who weren’t able to invest but what about those who did have the choice but still decided not to invest? They must be kicking themselves! They’ll be like the people not in the lotto syndicate which has just won!
I’m all for investing in shares in the company you work for – I would if I could here but they don’t have such a scheme. I had shares in the last company I worked at and made a few hundred quid, selling just before the financial crash (no, I didn’t have insider knowledge!). That said, I’m not sure in your position I would have invested >£2.5k myself (probably less), for the reason ERG mentions.
I don’t think you’re being a Whiney-McWhineface but you’re letting your gambler side come out by moaning about what you could have won, instead of just celebrating what you’ve actually won! 🙂
Looking forward to hearing how you put this windfall to good use (please don’t say crypto…!)
“could it be that the company are fearful of recommending the purchase of shares to employees” – I really don’t think it was this because like I say they did encourage us to put the money in but didn’t explain why properly. Having thought about it, I think that it could be that they thought the average employee is too dumb to understand about leverage, so missed that part out. I don’t understand why, most people buy a house with a mortgage and understand how that works (although they probably don’t think about it as leverage to be fair) but it’s pretty much the same principle but putting the money into an investment instead. Oh well, once again I guess I will never know and there is no point in asking about it now.
On your second point… Hah! Luckily there isn’t that many people left that didn’t invest as far as I can (maybe none in fact?! We’ve had a very high turnover of staff in the last few years) or the ones that are probably aren’t taking much of an interest in the sale of the company anyway, so I don’t think they realise exactly what they’ve missed out on, which is good and obviously we’re not going around the office boasting about it as that would be incredibly bad form.
Haha… that is totally the gambler in me there… I will shut up now and be happy with my lot (which is in fairness quite a lot). Won’t be putting into Cryptos… totally maxed out on that, so don’t worry about that one! 🙂
Consider if it had not gone well – job loss and loss of investment for a double kick in the nuts.
Congratulations on making out like a bandit. As per FI principles, you may purchase one fancy coffee whilst you load up those ISAs.
Hi JC (formerly JS!)
This is so true. It’s easy to focus on the outcome that happened but not to consider what could have happened but didn’t.
Thanks for the permission but I don’t even like coffee so I guess I’ll stick it all into the ISAs 🙂
Dude: Enron.
I feel your pain but this is a tiny insect bite compared to the pain that those poor sods went through.
This result is only one of a million that could have happened. Just cos it happened doesn’t make it a foregone conclusion – especially from YEARS ago.
It sounds like you make the best decision with the information you had. Were you bothered that you didn’t pick last week’s lottery numbers? It isn’t that different.
And congratulations.
“It sounds like you make the best decision with the information you had” – That’s what I’m “bitching” about, the information should have been given to us but wasn’t.
Anyway, thanks, as I said I’m not really bitching but am very happy with the outcome 🙂
As others have said – enjoy the money you did make from it 🙂 At the end of the day you turned a profit, on the same source as your monthly income comes from…..
As soon as my share scheme vests (a few years away) I will be selling out and buying an index tracker!
Enjoy the windfall!
FiL
Haha, yep, always best to take it out asap and diversify eh! Cheers FIL!
TFS, you should know the answer to this from your own homework (I’m assuming you read Taleb Nassim’s ‘Fooled by Randomness’ before tackling Black Swan) – focus on the quality of the decision-making AT THE TIME, not on the result … as a stoic, only the first is under your control (unless you have a 100% accurate crystal ball) whilst the second is in the hands of fate (some radically new disruptive technology could have made your industry redundant). As well to remind ourselves of these, as we all fall into the same trap time-and-time again, including myself 🙂 P.S. have you actually finished reading Black Swan yet???
Haha, I really should take that part of the site down, as you’ve noticed I do not keep it very up to date!
To be honest though I didn’t actually finish reading it. I found his style of writing really rather pompous and a bit hypocritical. He seems to just slate everything else and says people can’t know anything so all they are doing is a waste of time (except what he does of course because he is far more clever than anyone else). That was the impression I got anyway. That’s not to say there aren’t many important nuggets of advice in both books of course! And yea I read Fooled first (also found the books too similar actually).
“Focus on the quality of decision making at the time not the result…” ah but also doesn’t he recommend taking opportunities (or bets) with little downside but a potential large upside? That’s what this was so maybe I should have gone in bigger on it.
But yea on the larger point you are of course wholly correct, thanks Felice 🙂
Congrats TFS! I don’t think you sound like a whineyface at all.
Easy to question your decision making in hindsight. But it’s hindsight! To me, it sounds like you made the right decision at the time for you.
Also, remember, private equity don’t make money out of being nice guys. They engage in pretty sharp practices and operate in grey areas. Having dealt with a number of them over the years, there are some (not all, some PEs are very good) where you should check you still have you watch after shaking their hand.
“it sounds like you made the right decision at the time for you” – Agreed, think I did as well. Hindsight is a biatch though, right!? 🙂
Thanks for the warning but there is not really much I can do about it, the investment is handled by all the finance/lawyer people so I will get my money when I get it I suppose! Fingers crossed it will be soon as not heard anything else about it for a while now.
Cheers!